Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Could Herschel Walker be the next Senator of Georgia?

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Could Herschel Walker be the next Senator of Georgia?

US Politics
December 20, 2021 by Kitty Stone
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Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Herschel Walker is currently ahead in the Republican Primary but polls remain tight in a hypothetical match up with Raphael Warnock LATEST POLLS The Georgia Senate Race 2022 will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect a member of the US Senate from Georgia. The present Senator Raphael Warnock

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Herschel Walker is currently ahead in the Republican Primary but polls remain tight in a hypothetical match up with Raphael Warnock

LATEST POLLS

The Georgia Senate Race 2022 will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect a member of the US Senate from Georgia. The present Senator Raphael Warnock (D) was elected in a Special Election in 2020 after he defeated Kelly Loeffler of the Republican Party in a runoff on January 5th, 2022.

As of now, it appears that the Democratic Candidate will be Raphael Warnock, the present Senator. His Republican opponent will be decided by a primary to be held on May 24th, 2022.

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Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Latest Polls (Republicans)

As of today, the major candidates in the race are:-

  • Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011- Present)
  • Herschel Walker, former Professional Football Player, co-chair of the President’s Council on Sports,Fitness and Nutrition
  • Kelvin King, US Airforce Veteran and Businessman
  • Latham Saddler, Former Trump White House Official and Navy Seal Veteran

As per the latest Georgia Senate Polls 2022 in the Republican Primary, Herschel Walker is way ahead of everyone else, crossing the magic 50% mark to avoid a run-off with the top 2 polling candidates.

Polling Agency
Date
Herschel Walker
Gary Black
Kelvin King
Latham Saddler
Average of Polls
Sep 2nd-Nov 7th
68%
5.7%
2.3%
2%
Oct 11th-14th
74%
5%
1%
1%
Nov 3rd-Nov 7th
54%
6%
4%
3%
Sep 2nd-4th
76%
6%
2%
2%

UGA football Star Herschel Walker campaigns in Martinez

As per the latest Google Trends (Updated on December 17)

Herschel Walker: 75%

Raphael Warnock: 25%

In the 2020 US Presidential Election

Donald Trump: 64%

Joe Biden: 36%

Screenshot 2021 12 17 at 1.20.12 PM

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Social Media Sentiment Tracker (Last 7 Days as of Dec 17)

Candidate
Positive Sentiment
Negative Sentiment
Net Sentiment
Warnock (D)
6%
29%
-23%
Walker (R)
8%
54%
-46%

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Latest Polls (General Election)

As per the latest, Georgia Senate Polls 2022 which the pit incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock against Walker

Polling Company
Date
Raphael Warnock Voteshare
Herschel Walker Voteshare
Undecided
Average Of Polls
March – Nov
47.3%
45.3%
–
Nov 9
48%
42%
6%
Aug 4 – 5
48%
46%
6%
March 7 – 9
46%
48%
4%

As per the CDMedia/Georgia Record/Big Data Poll

  • Walker currently receives 54% of the vote in the GOP primary.
  • Walker’s closest rival, Gary Black is polling at 6 percent.
  • The survey, commissioned by pro-Walker super PAC 34N22 polled 439 likely Republican primary voters
  • As per the latest survey the primary electorate had coalesced around Walker before Senate GOP leaders changed course and publicly offered their support. Walker also has a $3.7 million third-quarter fundraising haul.
  • Walker has also received endorsements from GOP Sens. Josh Hawley of Missouri, Steve Daines of Montana, Roger Marshall of Kansas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina.

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Predictions and Odds

Predictit Betting Odds

Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?

Republicans: 49 cents Democrats: 53 cents

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest News

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Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Latest Videos and Ads

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Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock on Twitter: “Today, I spoke on the Senate floor about how we must act immediately to clear a pathway for passing voting rights. Now, I’m joining @maddow to discuss why we cannot give up on this crucial fight & why this is the most important issue this Congress faces. Tune in now! / Twitter”

Today, I spoke on the Senate floor about how we must act immediately to clear a pathway for passing voting rights. Now, I’m joining @maddow to discuss why we cannot give up on this crucial fight & why this is the most important issue this Congress faces. Tune in now!

Herschel Walker on Twitter: “We need Leaders in Washington that are good Stewards with our money! pic.twitter.com/0N3IdOKoj4 / Twitter”

We need Leaders in Washington that are good Stewards with our money! pic.twitter.com/0N3IdOKoj4

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Analysis of Republican Primary Candidates

Gary Black has been the Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia and is a well-known face in State Politics and Republican circles. He has been endorsed by

  • Nathan Deal, Governor of Georgia from 2011-2019
  • Doug Collins, US rep from Georgia’s 9th Congressional District(2013-2021)
  • 55 Georgia state lawmakers including Georgia House Majority Leader, John Burns
  • 76 county sheriffs

Herschel Walker is seen as the frontrunner in this race and has the endorsements of Influential Conservatives and Republicans like

  • Lindsey Graham, US Senator from South Carolina
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene, Republican firebrand and House Rep. from Georgia’s 14 congressional district
  • Sean Hannity, Fox News Reporter and Political Commentator
  • Franklin Graham, Evangelicalist and Missionary
  • Steve Daines, US Senator from Montana
  • And the most important Endorsement: Donald J Trump

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Does a Trump endorsement guarantee an outright victory?


Yes, it is undeniable that the Trump standard is a HUGE boost to his candidature and name recognition seeing the tremendous popularity Trump enjoys amongst the Republican base.

BUT it is no guarantee of victory, here are a few example

  • Let’s take another example, in the North Carolina 11th Congressional District which was vacated by Mark Meadows to be Trump’s Chief of Staff. Trump endorsed Lynda Bennett , but she still ended up losing in the primaries to Madison Cawthorn, a mere 25-year-old Greenhorn!
  • There are candidates who have lost in the primary or general elections despite receiving the endorsement of Trump, The latest one being his nominee in the Texas Special Election to the US House of Representatives.

Georgia Senate Polls 2022: Does Gary Black Have a Chance?

Seeing the above polls, one could be forgiven for thinking the election is already over.

But there are still at least 6 months before the primary for him to pick up the pace. That gives him enough time to buck up his campaign, create a ground organization, and wait for his primary opponents to make mistakes.

Gary Black is a well-established figure in Georgia State Politics and among the State Republican Party. He has a high name ID, is friendly, affable, and well known to farmers in his state and has an extensive and deep donor list.

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Demographics

As per the Census 2020

Demographic
Proportion
White Americans
50.1%
Black Americans
30.6%
Asian Americans
4.5%
Hispanic Americans
10.5%
Others
4.4%

As per some estimates on voter registration, white voters are nearly 60% of the state’s registered voters and non whites are 40%

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls : Analysis of all the Polls

The Latest CDMedia/Big Data poll continues to repeat the trend that Herschel Walker is the leader in the race.
As per the Trafalgar Poll, Herschel Walker is the undisputed leader with the overwhelming advantage and a 70 points lead over his next rival.
The Fabrizio, lee, and Associates Poll was part of a bigger poll that was carried out BEFORE Trump’s endorsement. Some of its observations were

  • There are still 35% of voters who are still undecided.
  • It further goes on to say that if Trump did endorse Herschel Walker, his rating could go up to 67%

Some other observations of the poll were:-

  • 93% of Republican voters approve of Donald Trump and he is still “The 800 Pound Gorilla in Georgia’s Politics”.
  • Governor Kemp’s approval rating is around 70% and in any hypothetical Republican Primary for Governor, he would win only 41% of the votes.
  • The poll was conducted before Trump’s endorsement of former Senator David Perdue, who is challenging Kemp instead of running for senate again. This makes Kemp extremely vulnerable in his primary, as he needs a majority to win and lacks Trump’s endorsement.
Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Poll puts Herschel Walker ahead of Raphael Warnock by 5 points

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