The Wyoming-At-Large (WY-AL) Congressional District goes to the polls on November 8th, 2022. The incumbent Representative Liz Cheney is currently facing multiple primary opponents over her decision to vote in favour of impeaching Donald J Trump over the January 2021 US Capitol Riots. 

The Trump Revenge

Donald Trump has taken it upon himself to do everything he can to seek ‘vengeance’ upon any Republicans who voted to impeach him by defeating and ending their political career.

10 Republicans voted to impeach him in the house and 3 have already announced their decision to retire, fearing defeat in the primary. Trump and his allies have focused most of their ire on the highest profile House Republican who voted to impeach, Elizabeth Cheney. She was the third most powerful Republican, before being demoted this year and is the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney.

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Candidates in the Republican Primaries

The major candidates running in this Primary are:-

• Liz Cheney, incumbent US House Representative
• Harriet Hageman, lawyer, former member of the RNC and Trump’s chosen candidate to defeat Liz Cheney
• Anthony Bouchard, State Senator for the 6th District
• Denton Knapp, Retired Army Colonel
• Robyn Belinskey, Businesswoman

Some of the candidates who decided to drop out after President Trump decided to endorse Harriet Hageman and followed in his footsteps by endorsing Harriet Hageman are:-

• Bryan Miller, chair of the Sheridan County Republican Party and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020
• Darin Smith, attorney, Christian Broadcasting Network executive, and candidate for this seat in 2016

Cheney path to victory runs through winning a plurality of the vote in the a divided field with the help of her large name recognition, her war-chest which is $3.6M as of the third quarter of the year, and potentially some democrats crossing the aisle to vote for her in the primary as the general election is not competitive — the winner of this primary is the prohibitive favorite to win in November 2022. Her task has become more difficult since Trump endorsed early, clearing the field and reducing the chance that the “anti-Cheney” vote gets divided.

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Polls

The only 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls that have been carried out were carried out before Trump endorsed Harriet Hageman so they are not in sync with present conditions, but they do give us a glimpse into the amount of disillusionment Wyoming Republicans have with Liz Cheney for her vote to impeach Trump. Cheney does not cross 23% in any poll, which already spells trouble for an incumbent with statewide name recognition.

As per the available 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls:-

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Google Search Update, December 27th

Cheney is comfortably ahead of Harriet Hageman

Last 7 days

Liz Cheney: 75%
Harriet Hageman: 25%

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Sentiment Analysis, December 27th

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Campaign News, Dec 30th

Trump-Cheney grudge match set off by Jan. 6 committee deal with White House over records

Lynn Schmidt: Liz Cheney stands firmly in defending democracy

One-On-One With Wyo. Congressional Candidate Harriet Hageman

Rand Paul Endorses Hageman For Congress

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Videos , Dec 30th

How Do You Solve a Problem Like Liz Cheney?

Trump ‘more off the rails than usual’ after Liz Cheney hinted at criminal charges

Wyoming lawmakers again oppose Trump-backed election changes

Brian Kilmeade On Liz Cheney’s Betrayal And More | Clay & Buck

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Tweets , Dec 30th

Crowd’s Videos

Kyrsten Sinema Vs Liz Cheney, 2024 Election Prediction (December 2021)

Liz Cheney Tr@shes Donald Trump and reduces him to a piece of Tr@elisekf60

Trump’s powerful hold over the GOP

Reminton Research Group

• In a fight between Liz Cheney vs Darin Smith, Darin Smith would overwhelming win 70% to 20%
• Even in a four fledged fight, Liz Cheney is at second place and 5 points behind Darin Smith(24%)
• 70% of people polled said the a hypotethical endorsement for Darin Smith from Trump would make them more likely to vote for him

McLaughlin and Associates

• It puts Chuck Gray ahead as the forerunner at 25% and Liz Cheney in second place at 23%.
• In a two-way race, Chuck Gray would beat Cheney 63% to 24%. Darin Smith would also beat her, 54% to 22%.
• 53% of Primary voters view her as Liberal, only 26% labelled her a Conservative.
• Trump has a 79% approval rating in Wyoming.

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls : Racial Demographics of the State

As per the 2020 Census

An overwhelming majority of voters in the state are White, the same is the case in the Republican Primary

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Endorsements

1. Liz Cheney

• George W Bush, 43rd President (2001 – 2008)
• Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2015 – Present)
• Jeff Flake, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (2013 – 2018)
• Susan Collins, U.S. Senator from Maine (1999 – present)
• Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts (2015 – present)
• Jeb Bush , Governor of Florida (1999 – 2007)
• Paul Ryan, US House Speaker (2015 – 2019)
• John Boehner, US House Speaker (2011 – 2015)

Many of Liz Cheney’s supporters and donors can be considered to belong to the Republican ‘Establishment’ , ‘Never-Trumper’ and moderate wings of the party. Both incumbent senators who have endorsed Cheney voted to impeach Trump.

2. Harriet Hageman

• Donald J Trump, 45th President (2017-2020)
• Bell Stepien, Donald Trump’s campaign manager for the 2020 Presidential Election
• Peter Thiel, co-founder of PayPal and venture capitalist
• Barbara Cubin, former Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2001–2003) and U.S. Representative for Wyoming’s at-large congressional district (1995–2009)
• Corey Lewandowski, political operative, lobbyist, political commentator, and author

There are no 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls on the Democratic Primary simply because there is no activity on the Democratic Side regarding this house seat. Statistics posted below may tell us why they aren’t enthusiastic about this election regardless of who wins this Republican Primary

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: How Wyoming has voted in the past

2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Voter Registration as of October 31, 2021.

As per figures released by the Wyoming Secretary of State.
Wyoming has about 300,00 registered voters

Registered Republicans are 69.9% of all total voters
Registered Democrats are 16.4% of all total voters
12.5% of voters are unaffiliated while 0.9% of voters belong to the Libertarian Party

Republicans are a majority of all voters in all but 2 counties in the state. In 2020 Donald Trump won Wyoming by 43 points, his best state in the nation.

The last time the Democrats won a statewide race was in 2010 and the last time they won a senate seat was in 1976.

A)Presidential Elections

The last time Wyoming voted for a Democratic President was in 1964.

Since 1968, no Democrat has crossed 40% of the total voteshare

B)House of Representative Seat

Wyoming is the least populous state in the nation and has thus always had only one seat in the US House of Representatives since it was admitted to the Union. The last time the state elected a Democrat to this seat was in 1976. And the last time the seat witnessed a competitive election was in 2006.

C) Liz Cheney’s Primary Performance

Read: Latest Biden Approval rating